2016 Archives

Electoral College map not favorable to Trump

Excerpt

The following is from the May 5, 2016, edition of KTRH radio of Houston. SMU Political Science Professor Cal Jillson provided expertise for this story.

May 6, 2016

By Cliff Saunders
iHeartMedia

Now that Donald Trump is the presumptive Republican nominee, he and his staff are going to have to concentrate on the general election, Hillary Clinton, and a little something called the Electoral College.

And the map for the Electoral College simply doesn’t work for Republicans right now. It didn’t work in 2008 and 2012, either. Trump needs 270 Electoral College votes, and SMU's Cal Jillson says that will be hard.

“The number of states Democrats win consistently gets you to about 240 electoral votes. The number of states the GOP wins consistently have less electoral votes attached,” Jillson told KTRH News.

So it's not a Trump problem, necessarily. Will he complain about the system the same way he complained about the delegate system in the primaries?

“It is in some sense rigged, but it’s not likely to change between now and the election,” Jillson stated.

At the end of it all, the race might come down Florida. Does that mean Trump needs to add someone like Marco Rubio to the ticket when he selects a running mate?

“Rubio in Florida might not get him much, because you’ll remember Trump beat Rubio in Florida and that drove Rubio out of the race,” Jillson explained.

So Jillson says Trump could look to someone else like Florida Governor Rick Scott or someone from another swing state like Ohio.