October 11, 2012
By Bruce Tomaso
Jake Batsell, a friend, former co-worker, and assistant journalism professor at Southern Methodist University, today mentioned on Facebook the FiveThirtyEight blog, from The New York Times.
The blog (named for the total number of votes in the U.S. Electoral College) is the creation of Nate Silver, a former baseball sabermetrician. It uses ”proprietary prediction models” to analyze polling data from across the country and make forecasts about how the election is likely to turn out.
The analysis is purely statistical, not ideological, political, or strategic. It’s not about who should win; it’s about each candidate’s probability of winning, based on what polls say today about voters’ attitudes and the choices they are likely to make on Nov. 6.
Read the full story.
# # #